Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Sean O'Malley won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSean O'Malley: StrikervsKris Moutinho: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Sean O'Malley wins(77.6%)
Actual result: Sean O'Malley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Malley is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Kris Moutinho has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Sean O'Malley has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean O'Malley has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (54.1%).
- Sean O'Malley has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sean O'Malley
Red Corner
VS
Kris Moutinho
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+580
(15%)
31
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean O'Malley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 23W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
vs Song Yadong · Jan 26Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 22L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25L
vs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean O'MalleyMetricKris Moutinho
6.05
Strikes / min
3.35
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
9.36
60%
Strike defense
30%
0.24
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
30%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.65Δ 8.66 — meaningful gap-6.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean O'MalleyKris Moutinho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Kris Moutinho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.0-59.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Sean O'Malley
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Kris Moutinho
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4