Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Sean O'Malley won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSean O'Malley: StrikervsThomas Almeida: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Sean O'Malley wins(81.5%)
Actual result: Sean O'Malley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Malley is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Thomas Almeida has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Thomas Almeida has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Sean O'Malley
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Almeida
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
31
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean O'Malley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 23W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
vs Song Yadong · Jan 26Thomas AlmeidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · May 16W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
KOvs Rob Font · Jan 18L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean O'MalleyMetricThomas Almeida
6.05
Strikes / min
4.84
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.93
60%
Strike defense
61%
0.24
TDs / 15 min
0.17
60%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.65Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean O'MalleyThomas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Thomas Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Sean O'Malley
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Thomas Almeida
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10