Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Malley is a KO finisher (58% of wins). Thomas Almeida has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Thomas Almeida has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Thomas AlmeidaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · May 16W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 17L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean O'MalleyMetricThomas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.65Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean O'MalleyThomas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Thomas Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +134.8|Blue -134.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean O'MalleyTargetThomas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 3Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
