Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Garcia won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2014·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Spencer: Pressure fightervsAlex Garcia: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alex Garcia wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Alex Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Spencer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean Spencer (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sean Spencer
Red Corner
VS
Alex Garcia
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean SpencerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Nov 13W
vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14L
vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Feb 16L
SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Sep 16Alex GarciaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 16L
vs Tim Means · Jun 17W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18L
vs Court McGee · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean SpencerMetricAlex Garcia
4.24
Strikes / min
1.81
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.14
TDs / 15 min
3.72
68%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean SpencerAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Spencer(8 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+6.0-6.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Sean Spencer
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8
Alex Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10