Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Spencer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean Spencer (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean SpencerL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14L
vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15L
SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Sep 16 Alex GarciaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean SpencerMetricAlex Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.22Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean SpencerAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Spencer(8 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.2|Blue +10.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +6.0|Blue -6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean SpencerTargetAlex Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:04
15Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 2Alex Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:19
Knockdowns0
33Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:33Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
