Middleweight
5 Rounds
Sean Strickland won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsAnthony Hernandez: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Anthony Hernandez wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Hernandez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Sean Strickland
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Hernandez
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-275
(73%)
35
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Strickland
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Jul 23W
vs Israel Adesanya · Sep 23L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25Anthony HernandezW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · May 23W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean StricklandMetricAnthony Hernandez
5.98
Strikes / min
4.57
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
5.88
68%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.45evenly matched on net striking+1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean StricklandAnthony Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Strickland(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.65.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Sean Strickland
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Anthony Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12