Middleweight
3 Rounds
Sean Strickland won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2024·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsPaulo Costa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Paulo Costa wins(50.9%)
Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Strickland has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean Strickland has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sean Strickland
Red Corner
VS
Paulo Costa
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Strickland
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Jul 23W
vs Israel Adesanya · Sep 23L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Sep 20L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean StricklandMetricPaulo Costa
5.98
Strikes / min
6.15
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
60%
Strike defense
49%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
0.30
68%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.45Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean StricklandPaulo Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Strickland(10 fights)Paulo Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+68.5-68.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Sean Strickland
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11