Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sean Strickland won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2016·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Strickland: Pressure fightervsTom Breese: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sean Strickland
Red Corner
VS
Tom Breese
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Strickland
oldest →latest
W
vs Israel Adesanya · Sep 23L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26Tom Breese
oldest →latest
W
vs Keita Nakamura · Feb 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20L
SUBvs Omari Akhmedov · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean StricklandMetricTom Breese
5.98
Strikes / min
3.34
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
60%
Strike defense
60%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
0.00
68%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.45evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean StricklandTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Strickland(10 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+6.0-6.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Sean Strickland
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Tom Breese
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8