Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernando Padilla is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Fernando Padilla threatens submissions; Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Fernando Padilla has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Woodson
oldest →W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Nov 21W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24W
vs Alex Caceres · May 24 Fernando Padilla
oldest →W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 23W
SUBvs Luis Pajuelo · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean WoodsonMetricFernando Padilla
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean WoodsonFernando Padilla
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Woodson(9 fights)Fernando Padilla(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.4|Blue -20.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean WoodsonTargetFernando Padilla
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Woodson edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control1:03
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
