Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sean Woodson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2024·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Woodson: Pressure fightervsFernando Padilla: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Sean Woodson wins(75.1%)
Actual result: Sean Woodson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernando Padilla is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Fernando Padilla threatens submissions; Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Fernando Padilla has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sean Woodson
Red Corner
VS
Fernando Padilla
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
33
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Woodson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Nov 21W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24W
vs Alex Caceres · May 24L
KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25Fernando Padilla
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 23L
vs Kyle Nelson · Sep 23W
SUBvs Luis Pajuelo · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean WoodsonMetricFernando Padilla
5.57
Strikes / min
6.07
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
5.74
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
0.00
84%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean WoodsonFernando Padilla
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Woodson(9 fights)Fernando Padilla(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.5-58.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Sean Woodson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Fernando Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4