Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Julian Erosa won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 27, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSean Woodson: Pressure fightervsJulian Erosa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Erosa threatens submissions; Sean Woodson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Sean Woodson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean Woodson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).
- Sean Woodson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sean Woodson
Red Corner
VS
Julian Erosa
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
33
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Woodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24W
vs Alex Caceres · May 24W
KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24L
KOvs Dan Ige · Apr 25Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean WoodsonMetricJulian Erosa
5.57
Strikes / min
6.18
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
58%
Strike defense
48%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
1.73
84%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sean WoodsonJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Woodson(9 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.9-60.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-153.0153.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Sean Woodson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18