Middleweight
3 Rounds
Josh Fremd won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sedriques Dumas wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Josh Fremd wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Fremd threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Sedriques Dumas
Red Corner
VS
Josh Fremd
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sedriques DumasL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25L
vs Zach Reese · Sep 25L
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25Josh FremdL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Apr 22L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sedriques DumasMetricJosh Fremd
1.97
Strikes / min
2.52
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
53%
Strike defense
47%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.66
33%
Takedown defense
30%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sedriques DumasJosh Fremd
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sedriques Dumas(7 fights)Josh Fremd(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.7-37.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Sedriques Dumas
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights8
Josh Fremd
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6