Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sedriques Dumas wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
- Sedriques Dumas has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sedriques Dumas
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
30
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sedriques DumasL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Abu Azaitar · Oct 23L
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24W
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24L
vs Zach Reese · Sep 25L
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25Michal OleksiejczukW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · Mar 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sedriques DumasMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
1.97
Strikes / min
5.85
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
1.02
33%
Takedown defense
52%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.67Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sedriques DumasMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sedriques Dumas(7 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.1-17.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Sedriques Dumas
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights8
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17