Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · U-DEC R3
SP
AV
Sergei PavlovichvsAlexander Volkov
UFC Event · Saturday, June 22, 2024Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupSergei Pavlovich: Pressure fightervsAlexander Volkov: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Sergei Pavlovich has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sergei Pavlovich
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkov
Blue Corner
-238
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
34
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'7"
213.36 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergei PavlovichW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 22W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Nov 23W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25W
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Aug 25Alexander Volkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 22W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergei PavlovichMetricAlexander Volkov
4.43
Strikes / min
4.84
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.54
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergei PavlovichAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.023.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Sergei Pavlovich
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights11
Alexander Volkov
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17