Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sergei Pavlovich won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Style matchupSergei Pavlovich: Pressure fightervsMarcelo Golm: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Sergei Pavlovich wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergei Pavlovich has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sergei Pavlovich
Red Corner
VS
Marcelo Golm
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
34
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
213.36 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergei PavlovichW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Nov 23L
vs Alexander Volkov · Jun 24W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25W
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Aug 25Marcelo GolmL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Christian Colombo · Oct 17L
vs Tim Johnson · Feb 18L
vs Arjan Bhullar · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergei PavlovichMetricMarcelo Golm
4.43
Strikes / min
4.27
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
4.30
55%
Strike defense
45%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.45
75%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergei PavlovichMarcelo Golm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)Marcelo Golm(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.4-2.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Sergei Pavlovich
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights11
Marcelo Golm
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4