Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergei Pavlovich is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Tom Aspinall has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tom Aspinall is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Sergei Pavlovich has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergei PavlovichW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 22W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
vs Alexander Volkov · Jun 24W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25W
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Aug 25 Tom Aspinall
oldest →W
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 22L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 22W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jul 23W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 24 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sergei PavlovichTom Aspinall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)Tom Aspinall(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.2|Blue -7.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage