Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sergei Pavlovich won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2025·Shanghai, Hebei, China, China
Style matchupSergei Pavlovich: Pressure fightervsWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Sergei Pavlovich wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Sergei Pavlovich has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sergei Pavlovich
Red Corner
VS
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergei Pavlovich
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 22W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Nov 23L
vs Alexander Volkov · Jun 24W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25Waldo Cortes AcostaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 25W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergei PavlovichMetricWaldo Cortes Acosta
4.43
Strikes / min
5.34
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.40
75%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergei PavlovichWaldo Cortes Acosta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)Waldo Cortes Acosta(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.2-33.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Sergei Pavlovich
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights11
Waldo Cortes Acosta
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6