Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Serghei Spivac won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSerghei Spivac: WrestlervsGreg Hardy: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Serghei Spivac wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Serghei Spivac has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Serghei Spivac
Red Corner
VS
Greg Hardy
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
198.12 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Greg HardyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Serghei SpivacMetricGreg Hardy
3.57
Strikes / min
4.79
4.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
52%
Strike defense
55%
3.82
TDs / 15 min
0.20
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Serghei SpivacGreg Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.8-14.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9