Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Serghei Spivac won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, February 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSerghei Spivac: WrestlervsJared Vanderaa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Serghei Spivac wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Vanderaa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Serghei Spivac has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Serghei Spivac
Red Corner
VS
Jared Vanderaa
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
31
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Jared VanderaaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Oct 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Feb 22L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22L
KOvs Chase Sherman · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Serghei SpivacMetricJared Vanderaa
3.57
Strikes / min
4.96
4.23
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
52%
Strike defense
45%
3.82
TDs / 15 min
0.18
63%
Takedown defense
20%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66evenly matched on net striking-0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Serghei SpivacJared Vanderaa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15
Jared Vanderaa
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7