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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tomorrow
Elo1506
Serghei Spivac
Elo1543

Serghei SpivacvsVitor PetrinoUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupSerghei Spivac: WrestlervsVitor Petrino: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Vitor Petrino has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Serghei Spivac
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Petrino
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
1506
Elo
1543
31
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Serghei Spivac
oldest →
L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23
W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24
L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25
L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25
W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26
latest
Vitor PetrinoW3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24
W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25
W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25
W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Serghei SpivacMetricVitor Petrino
3.57
Strikes / min
3.24
4.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
52%
Strike defense
51%
3.82
TDs / 15 min
2.60
63%
Takedown defense
79%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+0.53
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Serghei Spivac(10 fights)Vitor Petrino(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -36.6|Blue +36.6
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO61%

Historical win share: Serghei Spivac earned 33% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission39%

Historical win share: Serghei Spivac earned 33% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Serghei Spivac

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15

Vitor Petrino

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9