Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Moraes won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Sergio Moraes wins(70.6%)
Actual result: Sergio Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Ben Saunders
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Sep 17W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Ben SaundersL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 18W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio MoraesMetricBen Saunders
2.42
Strikes / min
3.23
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
59%
Strike defense
51%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.20
75%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio MoraesBen Saunders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Moraes(10 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+78.4-78.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+118.0-118.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Ben Saunders
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14