Welterweight
3 Rounds
James Krause won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2019·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: James Krause wins(63.1%)
Actual result: James Krause wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Moraes
Red Corner
VS
James Krause
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio MoraesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Sep 17W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19James Krause
oldest →latest
W
vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17W
vs Alex White · Jan 18W
KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio MoraesMetricJames Krause
2.42
Strikes / min
4.79
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.96
75%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio MoraesJames Krause
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Moraes(10 fights)James Krause(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.614.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-259.0259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
James Krause
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13