Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Moraes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 11, 2015·Krakow, Poland, Poland
Model Prediction: Sergio Moraes wins(73.2%)
Actual result: Sergio Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sergio Moraes has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Mickael Lebout
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Mickael Lebout
oldest →latest
W
vs Teemu Packalen · Jul 15L
vs Stevie Ray · Oct 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio MoraesMetricMickael Lebout
2.42
Strikes / min
2.60
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
59%
Strike defense
54%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio MoraesMickael Lebout
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Moraes(10 fights)Mickael Lebout(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.4-20.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Mickael Lebout
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3