Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Moraes won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Sergio Moraes wins(66.4%)
Actual result: Sergio Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Renee Forte
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Means · Feb 18W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Renee ForteL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Terry Etim · Feb 13L
KOvs John Makdessi · Sep 13L
vs Francisco Trevino · Mar 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio MoraesMetricRenee Forte
2.42
Strikes / min
2.08
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.12
59%
Strike defense
63%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
2.32
75%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio MoraesRenee Forte
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Moraes(10 fights)Renee Forte(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Renee Forte
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4