Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Moraes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 3, 2018·Belem, Para, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Tim Means wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Sergio Moraes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Tim Means
Blue Corner
+173
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Sep 17W
SUBvs Ben Saunders · Sep 18L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Mar 19L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 19L
KOvs James Krause · Nov 19Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio MoraesMetricTim Means
2.42
Strikes / min
5.04
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
59%
Strike defense
60%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
1.14
75%
Takedown defense
64%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio MoraesTim Means
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Moraes(10 fights)Tim Means(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.5-24.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Sergio Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29