Flyweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Pettis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 23, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Sergio Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Pettis has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Chris Kelades
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
32
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Chris Kelades
oldest →latest
W
vs Paddy Holohan · Oct 14L
SUBvs Ray Borg · Feb 15W
vs Chris Beal · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricChris Kelades
3.88
Strikes / min
2.40
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
65%
Strike defense
48%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
1.04
67%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.97Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio PettisChris Kelades
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Chris Kelades(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.9-11.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-41.041.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Chris Kelades
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4