Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Pettis has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18 Chris Kelades
oldest →W
vs Paddy Holohan · Oct 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricChris Kelades
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.97Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sergio PettisChris Kelades
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Chris Kelades(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -41.0|Blue +41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sergio PettisTargetChris Kelades
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control0:35
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:41
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 3Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:38
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
