Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jussier Formiga won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Jussier Formiga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Jussier Formiga
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
32
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Moreno · Aug 17L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ben Nguyen · Feb 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricJussier Formiga
3.88
Strikes / min
1.42
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.34
65%
Strike defense
64%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
1.82
67%
Takedown defense
87%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.97Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio PettisJussier Formiga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Jussier Formiga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.8-22.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Jussier Formiga
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16