Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Sergio Pettis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSergio Pettis: Elusive strikervsMatt Hobar: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(62.3%)
Actual result: Sergio Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergio Pettis has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sergio Pettis has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Hobar (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sergio Pettis
Red Corner
VS
Matt Hobar
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Matt Hobar
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · May 14W
vs Aaron Phillips · Aug 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricMatt Hobar
3.88
Strikes / min
3.23
2.91
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
65%
Strike defense
52%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
3.66
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.97Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sergio PettisMatt Hobar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Matt Hobar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.5-15.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Matt Hobar
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3