Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alan Jouban won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2014·Bangor, Maine, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Seth Baczynski wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Alan Jouban wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Jouban is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Seth Baczynski has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Seth Baczynski
Red Corner
VS
Alan Jouban
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Seth BaczynskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Pierce · Dec 12L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Alan Jouban
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Seth BaczynskiMetricAlan Jouban
3.08
Strikes / min
5.67
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
0.51
48%
Takedown defense
58%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.06Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Seth BaczynskiAlan Jouban
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Seth Baczynski(10 fights)Alan Jouban(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.8-12.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Alan Jouban
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13