Welterweight
3 Rounds
Seth Baczynski won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Lance Benoist wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Seth Baczynski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Seth Baczynski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lance Benoist (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Seth Baczynski
Red Corner
VS
Lance Benoist
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Seth BaczynskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Lance Benoist
oldest →latest
W
vs Matthew Riddle · Sep 11L
vs Sean Pierson · Sep 12W
vs Bobby Voelker · Jun 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Seth BaczynskiMetricLance Benoist
3.08
Strikes / min
3.68
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
51%
Strike defense
56%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
1.50
48%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.06Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Seth BaczynskiLance Benoist
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Seth Baczynski(10 fights)Lance Benoist(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Lance Benoist
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4