Welterweight
3 Rounds
Leon Edwards won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 11, 2015·Krakow, Poland, Poland
Model Prediction: Leon Edwards wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Leon Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leon Edwards has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Seth Baczynski
Red Corner
VS
Leon Edwards
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
44
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Seth BaczynskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Pierce · Dec 12L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Seth BaczynskiMetricLeon Edwards
3.08
Strikes / min
2.60
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
1.25
48%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Seth BaczynskiLeon Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Seth Baczynski(10 fights)Leon Edwards(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.2-11.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19