Welterweight
3 Rounds
Seth Baczynski won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2012·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Seth Baczynski wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Seth Baczynski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Seth Baczynski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Simeon Thoresen has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Simeon Thoresen has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Seth Baczynski
Red Corner
VS
Simeon Thoresen
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Seth BaczynskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Simeon Thoresen
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Besam Yousef · Apr 12L
vs David Mitchell · Jan 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Seth BaczynskiMetricSimeon Thoresen
3.08
Strikes / min
3.85
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
51%
Strike defense
64%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
1.12
48%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.06evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Seth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Seth Baczynski(10 fights)Simeon Thoresen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.7-18.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-55.055.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Simeon Thoresen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3