Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jailton Almeida won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Jailton Almeida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Red Corner
VS
Jailton Almeida
Blue Corner
+675
(13%)
Vegas Odds
-975
(91%)
44
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shamil AbdurakhimovL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 18W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shamil AbdurakhimovMetricJailton Almeida
2.41
Strikes / min
2.23
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
1.30
55%
Strike defense
43%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
5.64
45%
Takedown defense
60%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.61Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shamil AbdurakhimovJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-43.243.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
Shamil Abdurakhimov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights11
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11