Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Shamil Gaziev won · KO/TKO R1
SG
TP
Shamil GazievvsThomas Petersen
UFC Event · Saturday, February 1, 2025Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupShamil Gaziev: Well-roundedvsThomas Petersen: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thomas Petersen wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Shamil Gaziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Gaziev is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Thomas Petersen has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
- Shamil Gaziev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shamil Gaziev
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Petersen
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
36
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shamil Gaziev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Martin Buday · Dec 23L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Mar 24W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25Thomas Petersen
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 24W
vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · May 25L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shamil GazievMetricThomas Petersen
2.94
Strikes / min
3.10
4.92
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
45%
Strike defense
54%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
3.01
83%
Takedown defense
87%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.98Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shamil GazievThomas Petersen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shamil Gaziev(5 fights)Thomas Petersen(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Shamil Gaziev
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5
Thomas Petersen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6