Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Lauren Mueller won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Shana Dobson wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Lauren Mueller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lauren Mueller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Lauren Mueller has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Shana Dobson
Red Corner
VS
Lauren Mueller
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shana Dobson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ariel Beck · Dec 17L
vs Sabina Mazo · Aug 19L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 20W
KOvs Mariya Agapova · Aug 20L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Feb 21Lauren MuellerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Wu Yanan · Nov 18L
vs Poliana Botelho · Apr 19L
vs JJ Aldrich · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shana DobsonMetricLauren Mueller
3.34
Strikes / min
4.08
5.20
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
50%
Strike defense
58%
0.84
TDs / 15 min
0.70
14%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.86Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap+0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shana DobsonLauren Mueller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shana Dobson(6 fights)Lauren Mueller(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Shana Dobson
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Lauren Mueller
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4