Featherweight
3 Rounds
Shane Burgos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupShane Burgos: Pressure fightervsCharles Rosa: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Shane Burgos wins(76.5%)
Actual result: Shane Burgos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Shane Burgos has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
- Shane Burgos has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shane Burgos
Red Corner
VS
Charles Rosa
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane BurgosW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Nov 19L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 20L
KOvs Edson Barboza · May 21W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Nov 21W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jul 22Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs TJ Brown · Jan 22L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane BurgosMetricCharles Rosa
7.40
Strikes / min
3.08
6.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.67
91%
Takedown defense
38%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shane BurgosCharles Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Burgos(10 fights)Charles Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.0-14.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-327.0327.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Shane Burgos
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Charles Rosa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13