Featherweight
3 Rounds
Shane Burgos won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupShane Burgos: Pressure fightervsKurt Holobaugh: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Shane Burgos wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Shane Burgos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Burgos has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Shane Burgos has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shane Burgos
Red Corner
VS
Kurt Holobaugh
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane BurgosW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Nov 19L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 20L
KOvs Edson Barboza · May 21W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Nov 21W
vs Charles Jourdain · Jul 22Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23L
vs Trey Ogden · Mar 24W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane BurgosMetricKurt Holobaugh
7.40
Strikes / min
4.58
6.78
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
0.65
91%
Takedown defense
38%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shane BurgosKurt Holobaugh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Burgos(10 fights)Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.1-60.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Shane Burgos
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Kurt Holobaugh
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9