Lightweight
3 Rounds
TJ Grant won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Model Prediction: TJ Grant wins(54.3%)
Actual result: TJ Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Shane Roller
Red Corner
VS
TJ Grant
Blue Corner
-174
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane Roller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Mar 11L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 11L
vs Michael Johnson · Jan 12W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 12W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13W
KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane RollerMetricTJ Grant
2.04
Strikes / min
3.95
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
60%
Strike defense
56%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
1.63
42%
Takedown defense
36%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.61Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shane RollerTJ Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Roller(6 fights)TJ Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.3-21.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Shane Roller
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
TJ Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8