Featherweight
3 Rounds
Shane Young won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 9, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Style matchupShane Young: Pressure fightervsAustin Arnett: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Shane Young wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Shane Young wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Young enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Austin Arnett has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Shane Young
Red Corner
VS
Austin Arnett
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane YoungL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rolando Dy · Jun 18L
KOvs Ludovit Klein · Sep 20L
vs Omar Morales · Mar 21L
vs Blake Bilder · Feb 23L
SUBvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 23Austin Arnett
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Jan 18L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jul 18W
vs Humberto Bandenay · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane YoungMetricAustin Arnett
5.19
Strikes / min
4.52
5.46
Strikes absorbed / min
6.38
52%
Strike defense
62%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
0.44
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shane YoungAustin Arnett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Young(7 fights)Austin Arnett(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Shane Young
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Austin Arnett
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4