Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jesus Aguilar won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupShannon Ross: Pressure fightervsJesus Aguilar: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Shannon Ross wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Jesus Aguilar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shannon Ross has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shannon Ross (52.9%).
- Shannon Ross has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shannon Ross
Red Corner
VS
Jesus Aguilar
Blue Corner
+128
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-152
(60%)
37
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shannon RossL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kleydson Rodrigues · Feb 23L
KOvs HyunSung Park · Dec 23Jesus Aguilar
oldest →latest
W
vs Mateus Mendonca · Feb 24W
SUBvs Stewart Nicoll · Aug 24L
vs Rafael Estevam · Feb 25W
vs Luis Gurule · Sep 25L
vs Sumudaerji · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shannon RossMetricJesus Aguilar
5.96
Strikes / min
2.54
7.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.29
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.52
100%
Takedown defense
45%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.43Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shannon RossJesus Aguilar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shannon Ross(3 fights)Jesus Aguilar(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.22.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Shannon Ross
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3
Jesus Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7