Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michael Page won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Model Prediction: Shara Magomedov wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Michael Page wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shara Magomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Page has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Page (52.9%).
- Michael Page has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shara Magomedov
Red Corner
VS
Michael Page
Blue Corner
-196
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shara MagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bruno Silva · Oct 23W
KOvs Antonio Trocoli · Jun 24W
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 24W
KOvs Armen Petrosyan · Oct 24W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jul 25Michael PageW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Jun 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 25W
vs Sam Patterson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shara MagomedovMetricMichael Page
5.93
Strikes / min
2.28
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
1.51
43%
Strike defense
62%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.19
71%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.08Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shara MagomedovMichael Page
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shara Magomedov(6 fights)Michael Page(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+63.6-63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Shara Magomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Michael Page
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5