Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shavkat Rakhmonov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupShavkat Rakhmonov: Submission grapplervsCarlston Harris: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins(72.3%)
Actual result: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Red Corner
VS
Carlston Harris
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
31
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Jun 21W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jun 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
SUBvs Stephen Thompson · Dec 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24Carlston HarrisL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Impa Kasanganay · Sep 21W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23W
SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24L
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shavkat RakhmonovMetricCarlston Harris
3.25
Strikes / min
3.79
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
51%
Strike defense
54%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
1.46
85%
Takedown defense
55%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.08evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shavkat RakhmonovCarlston Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)Carlston Harris(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.2-8.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Shavkat Rakhmonov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Carlston Harris
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7