Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shavkat Rakhmonov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupShavkat Rakhmonov: Submission grapplervsMichel Prazeres: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins(75.4%)
Actual result: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Red Corner
VS
Michel Prazeres
Blue Corner
-305
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
31
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Feb 22W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jun 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
SUBvs Stephen Thompson · Dec 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24Michel Prazeres
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mads Burnell · Sep 17W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shavkat RakhmonovMetricMichel Prazeres
3.25
Strikes / min
2.38
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
3.94
85%
Takedown defense
47%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.08Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shavkat RakhmonovMichel Prazeres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)Michel Prazeres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-82.482.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-609.0609.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Shavkat Rakhmonov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14