Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shavkat Rakhmonov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupShavkat Rakhmonov: Submission grapplervsStephen Thompson: Striker
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins(70.7%)
Actual result: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
31
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Jun 21W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Feb 22W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jun 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24Stephen ThompsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gilbert Burns · Jul 21L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shavkat RakhmonovMetricStephen Thompson
3.25
Strikes / min
4.05
2.17
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
51%
Strike defense
54%
1.40
TDs / 15 min
0.23
85%
Takedown defense
63%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.08evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shavkat RakhmonovStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.0-5.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Shavkat Rakhmonov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21