Lightweight
3 Rounds
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Shem Rock has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shem Rock (53.5%).
- Shem Rock has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shem Rock
Red Corner
VS
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Blue Corner
-104
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-118
(54%)
32
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shem Rock
oldest →latest
L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Nov 25Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Loik Radzhabov · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shem RockMetricAbdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
3.03
Strikes / min
4.61
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
49%
Strike defense
60%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.47
88%
Takedown defense
54%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.37Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shem RockAbdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shem Rock(2 fights)Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-630.0630.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Shem Rock
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2