Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shinsho Anzai won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2015·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Style matchupShinsho Anzai: Well-roundedvsRoger Zapata: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Shinsho Anzai wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Shinsho Anzai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roger Zapata (53.5%).
- Roger Zapata has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Shinsho Anzai
Red Corner
VS
Roger Zapata
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shinsho Anzai
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alberto Mina · Aug 14W
vs Luke Jumeau · Sep 17L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jun 18Roger ZapataNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shinsho AnzaiMetricRoger Zapata
3.23
Strikes / min
2.60
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
45%
Strike defense
36%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Shinsho AnzaiRoger Zapata
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shinsho Anzai(4 fights)Roger Zapata(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Shinsho Anzai
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Roger Zapata
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights1