Welterweight
3 Rounds
David Mitchell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 26, 2013·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Simeon Thoresen wins(65.8%)
Actual result: David Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Mitchell enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Simeon Thoresen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Simeon Thoresen has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Simeon Thoresen
Red Corner
VS
David Mitchell
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Simeon Thoresen
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Besam Yousef · Apr 12L
KOvs Seth Baczynski · Sep 12David MitchellL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs TJ Waldburger · Sep 10L
vs Paulo Thiago · Aug 11L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Jul 13L
vs Yan Cabral · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Simeon ThoresenMetricDavid Mitchell
3.85
Strikes / min
1.74
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.06
64%
Strike defense
55%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
0.66
50%
Takedown defense
29%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Simeon ThoresenDavid Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Simeon Thoresen(3 fights)David Mitchell(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.0-39.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-392.0392.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Simeon Thoresen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3
David Mitchell
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5