Welterweight
3 Rounds
Siyar Bahadurzada won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2018·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupSiyar Bahadurzada: Well-roundedvsLuan Chagas: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Siyar Bahadurzada wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Siyar Bahadurzada wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Siyar Bahadurzada is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Luan Chagas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Luan Chagas has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luan Chagas has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Siyar Bahadurzada
Red Corner
VS
Luan Chagas
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Howard · Dec 13W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17L
vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19Luan Chagas
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Sep 16W
vs Jimmy Wallhead · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Siyar BahadurzadaMetricLuan Chagas
2.91
Strikes / min
4.16
3.23
Strikes absorbed / min
3.19
49%
Strike defense
62%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
0.32
62%
Takedown defense
85%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.32Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Siyar BahadurzadaLuan Chagas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)Luan Chagas(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Siyar Bahadurzada
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Luan Chagas
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3