Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jared Rosholt won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Model Prediction: Soa Palelei wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Jared Rosholt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Soa Palelei is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jared Rosholt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jared Rosholt has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Soa Palelei has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Soa Palelei
Red Corner
VS
Jared Rosholt
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
48
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
205.74 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Soa Palelei
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Aug 13W
KOvs Pat Barry · Dec 13W
KOvs Ruan Potts · May 14W
KOvs Walt Harris · Nov 14L
KOvs Antonio Silva · Aug 15Jared Rosholt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Nov 14W
KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15W
vs Tim Johnson · Aug 15W
vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15L
vs Roy Nelson · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Soa PaleleiMetricJared Rosholt
2.47
Strikes / min
2.08
2.68
Strikes absorbed / min
1.52
48%
Strike defense
59%
2.20
TDs / 15 min
1.83
66%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Soa PaleleiJared Rosholt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Soa Palelei(6 fights)Jared Rosholt(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.1-11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-29.029.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Soa Palelei
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights6
Jared Rosholt
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8