Lightweight
3 Rounds
Spencer Fisher won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 16, 2010·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupSpencer Fisher: Well-roundedvsCurt Warburton: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Spencer Fisher wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Spencer Fisher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Spencer Fisher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Spencer Fisher has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Curt Warburton has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Spencer Fisher (53.5%).
- Curt Warburton has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Spencer Fisher
Red Corner
VS
Curt Warburton
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
50
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
6'0"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Spencer FisherL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 10L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 11L
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Aug 11L
vs Sam Stout · Jun 12Curt Warburton
oldest →latest
W
vs Maciej Jewtuszko · Feb 11L
SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Spencer FisherMetricCurt Warburton
3.17
Strikes / min
2.13
3.03
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
64%
Strike defense
43%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
2.35
60%
Takedown defense
83%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.14Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Spencer FisherCurt Warburton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Spencer Fisher(5 fights)Curt Warburton(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.519.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Spencer Fisher
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Curt Warburton
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3