Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bill Algeo won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSpike Carlyle: WrestlervsBill Algeo: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Spike Carlyle wins(67.5%)
Actual result: Bill Algeo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bill Algeo has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Spike Carlyle
Red Corner
VS
Bill Algeo
Blue Corner
-177
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Spike Carlyle
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aalon Cruz · Feb 20L
vs Billy Quarantillo · May 20Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Fili · Sep 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Apr 23W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Spike CarlyleMetricBill Algeo
2.55
Strikes / min
5.88
3.85
Strikes absorbed / min
4.38
30%
Strike defense
47%
3.34
TDs / 15 min
1.03
57%
Takedown defense
55%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap+1.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Spike CarlyleBill Algeo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Spike Carlyle(3 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.4-13.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Spike Carlyle
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Bill Algeo
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10