Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2019·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsBen Rothwell: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Ben Rothwell wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Rothwell has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stefan Struve has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stefan Struve
Red Corner
VS
Ben Rothwell
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'11"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan Struve
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricBen Rothwell
3.12
Strikes / min
3.71
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
46%
Strike defense
47%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.68
55%
Takedown defense
70%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stefan StruveBen Rothwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.0-11.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16