Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jared Rosholt won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 14, 2015·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Stefan Struve wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Jared Rosholt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jared Rosholt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jared Rosholt has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stefan Struve has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stefan Struve
Red Corner
VS
Jared Rosholt
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'11"
Height
6'2"
213.36 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan StruveL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Jared Rosholt
oldest →latest
W
vs Soa Palelei · Jun 14L
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Nov 14W
KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15W
vs Tim Johnson · Aug 15L
vs Roy Nelson · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricJared Rosholt
3.12
Strikes / min
2.08
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
1.52
46%
Strike defense
59%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.83
55%
Takedown defense
66%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stefan StruveJared Rosholt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Jared Rosholt(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.414.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20
Jared Rosholt
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8